Friday Night Lights
Diggs' DFW Picks and Previews
Class 5A District Football Games
District 4-5A
FW Paschal (0-8, 0-5) at Mansfield Summit (7-1, 5-0) -- This game is an extreme mismatch - and FW Paschal has been on the end of some ugly beatings. For Summit - the team has clinched, it will likely bring it starters out for a quarter and then let the second and third team get some reps for depth before the playoff starts - and I respect Summit for doing that. Summit wins by 42 points.
Matt's Pick: Mansfield Summit
Burleson (5-3, 3-2) at Mansfield Timberview (5-3, 4-1) -- Burleson has fallen off the deep end - but I can't help but think they are going to be ready for this week. Timberview has started to get some confidence against some bad teams. I think Burleson pulls a minor upset - but not by the 14 needed to force the coinflip for them to get in the playoffs. Burleson by 10.
Matt's Pick: Burleson
Weatherford (2-6, 2-3) at North Crowley (1-7, 1-4) -- North Crowley won its first game and has some confidence building after getting thumped by the big boys of the district. Weatherford - after beating Burleson - has tripped up since then. I think this game will be extremely competitive and hard fought - but Weatherford wins by 4 points.
Matt's Pick: Weatherford
Mansfield (7-1, 4-1) at Granbury (1-7, 1-4) -- Mansfield will take on Mansfield Timberview next week in what should be a fun and competitive game - but Granbury awaits Mansfield until then. Granbury will not be competitive at all - and much like Mansfield - I think some kids will get some reps after the first series of the second quarter - and Timberview will be the test run for the playoffs. Mansfield High wins by 45.
Matt's Pick: Mansfield
District 5-5A
Haltom (1-7, 0-5) at Justin Northwest (1-7, 0-5) -- Northwest is a better team than their record indicates - and they are getting better at the right time - unfortunately, they didn't win enough games before they started to peak to have that peak mean anything. Haltom will provide a solid fight - but this is Northwest's game - the defense has really set the tone for the team. Northwest wins by 16.
Matt's Pick: Justin Northwest
Keller Central (1-7, 1-4) at Richland (4-4, 2-3) -- Outside of the playoff teams - the best pure offense is against the best pure defense in the district. Richland keeps the score down - everyone has a hard time scoring against them. Keller Central seems to be able to score 20 or so on everyone - they just give up 50. Richland MUST win to keep their playoff hopes alive - and I think they will. That last 90 seconds in Keller has been the difference between the playoffs and not for Richland. Richland wins by 14.
Matt's Pick: Richland
District 6-5A
Hebron (7-1, 5-0) at FM Marcus (7-1, 4-1) -- This game, provided both teams make the playoffs, will be for seeding purposes - in other words, the winner of this game will avoid Southlake. For Marcus, it is also important because with one loss and either FM or Coppell having 2 or 3 losses - losing could put its playoff hopes up for grabs. I do think that this will happen - Hebron is the best team in this district - again, and although Marcus will try to control clock - I don't think they will. Hebron by 14.
Matt's Pick: Hebron
Newman Smith (0-8, 0-5) at RL Turner (0-8, 0-5) -- The battle of the winless CFBISD teams seems to be a yearly tradition - neither of these teams can get a winning mindset - but with Newman Smith's closely played game against Hebron - spurred by juniors and sophomores - has a bright future. They also have a bright today in this game. Newman Smith has superior talent and this could be a blowout. Newman Smith wins by 28 points.
Matt's Pick: Newman Smith
Coppell (6-2, 3-2) at Flower Mound (5-3, 4-1) -- Flower Mound has a pretty solid team - well balanced, and well balanced teams have a pretty good shot against Coppell. The key match-up in this contest is Flower Mound's defense vs. Coppell's offense - and in that subset - i don't think Flower Mound's defense is good enough to control the game. That will present the game-changing mismatch. Coppell wins by 13.
Matt's Pick: Coppell
District 7-5A
LD Bell (6-2, 4-1) at Dallas Jesuit (5-3, 3-2) -- Both teams have been painstakingly methodical this season. It hasn't been pretty all times, but it has gotten done in a convincing way. I think that this will be a very close game - but I think LD Bell's defense against Jesuit's offense is the key match-up which favors LD Bell. The Blue Raiders win this game by 7 points.
Matt's Pick: LD Bell
Irving (3-5, 2-3) at Euless Trinity (7-1, 5-0) -- The Aggie_Lawyer curse has hit Irving. Whenever noted author and bloggist A. Lawyer has attended Irving games the last 3 years - they have won every single game - by forfeit or otherwise. I am told he will not be at this game. That means Euless Trinity will get its fifth shutout in district play. Now that is an amazing stat.
Matt's Pick: Euless Trinity
Irving MacArthur (7-1, 4-1) at Grand Prairie (2-6, 1-4) -- Irving MacArthur, other than getting rolled by Euless Trinity - has been effective, but it hasn't been without taking its lumps. MacArthur pulled its starting quarterback down 10 in the 4th quarter to S. Grand Prairie and found a spark. What will happen this week? Changing of the guard? Look for some questions to be answered in a 28 point win over Grand Prairie.
Matt's Pick: Irving MacArthur
S. Grand Prairie (1-7, 1-4) at Irving Nimitz (0-8, 0-5) -- SGP is a deceiving 1-7 team. With a forfeit loss and a tough non-district schedule - believe it or not, SGP can control their own destiny next week if LD Bell beats Jesuit. I do think all of this will happen - and SGP will take care of business against Irving Nimitz. Nimitz has a great defense and I think this will be competitive for a half - but SGP pulls away and wins by 27.
Matt's Pick: S. Grand Prairie
District 8-5A
Duncanville (3-5, 2-3) at Arlington Bowie (8-0, 5-0) -- Duncanville made it close against Desoto - a team that was resting players if you look at the box score deeply. Arlington Bowie won't be resting anyone - in fact - their biggest controversy is whether or not the all district running back they let back on the team should get on the field! Arlington Bowie has the complete package this year. They win this one by 35 points.
Matt's Pick: Arlington Bowie
Arlington (3-5, 2-3) at Arlington Lamar (4-4, 1-4) -- Just like Berkner who pulled a huge upset against Plano East a couple of weeks ago - a youthful team wins a huge game and then gets its rival who couldn't care less about their victory. I think this has all the ingredients for a classic upset. Arlington is going to have a hangover effect and lose this game by 10 points.
Matt's UPSET Pick: Arlington Lamar
Arlington Martin (7-1, 4-1) at Cedar Hill (5-3, 2-3) -- This is do or die for Cedar Hill - and with that coaching staff - this game puts IMMEDIATELY under UPSETWATCH. Arlington Martin was shut down by Bowie and Cedar Hill has the athletes to do it. Arlington Martin pulls it out late - but wins it by 4 points - but I can easily see Cedar Hill winning this one.
Matt's Pick: Arlington Martin
District 9-5A
Lake Highlands (2-6, 2-3) at Allen (8-0, 5-0) -- Lake Highlands has traditionally given Allen fits - even if Allen ultimately wins the game. Lake Highlands has given several teams fits this year - and with Allen's defense, Lake Highlands certainly has the talent to score some - especially if they can win the battle of turnovers. I think this will be another close game in Allen tradition - but they end up winning by 8 points.
Matt's Pick: Allen
Plano East (6-2, 3-2) at Plano (7-1, 4-1) -- Plano has been stingy on defense - they have stopped some of the best defenses in the area. Holding Plano West to 9 points - 6 were late, and keeping Allen to 35 - they slow down the high octane offenses. With seven state championships - everything is on their side for this game. It will be a fun week for one of the bigger state rivalries. Plano wins by 7.
Matt's Pick: Plano
Plano West (4-4, 2-3) at Wylie (4-4, 3-2) -- This is going to be a fantastic games. Both teams play with amazing accuracy and a lot of heart. I think in the match-up, Plano West has a better match-up against Wylie. The defensive line will control the run and the shuttle passes and limit what Wylie likes to do - meanwhile West can march on Wylie. West wins this game by 14 points.
Matt's Pick: Plano West
Richardson (0-8, 0-5) at Richardson Berkner (2-6, 1-4) -- Berkner now needs a lot of help to get into the playoffs after controlling their own destiny - but the problem with a young team is that they can play up and down to the level of their competition. Richardson is still a young team learning the new system. They will grow competitive as they continue. Berkner should handle Richardson this week by 35 points.
Matt's Pick: Richardson Berkner
District 10-5A
Garland (2-6, 2-3) at South Garland (7-1, 5-0) -- With Garland's back against the wall, and a loss means almost certain playoff elimination - I think we will see Garland's best game of the year. If South Garland plays like it did against Rockwall and Sachse - we may see the upset. I do think that South Garland will step up to the challenge and win this game by 14 points.
Matt's Pick: South Garland
Naaman Forest (7-1, 4-1) at Rockwall (4-4, 3-2) -- Rockwall has not shown an ability to stop the run this year - and Naaman runs first and asks questions later. Rockwall has not fared well against really good offenses - and that is what Naaman has - a really good offense. I think Rockwall finishes the season with its win/loss cycle - and be one and done. Naaman by 17 points.
Matt's Pick: Naaman Forest
Sachse (0-8, 0-5) at North Garland (0-8, 0-5) -- Someone will get its first and likely only win of the season in this game. Sachse has been competitive with several games and held leads for a half. North Garland has been down in every game early and has not really successfully been close with anyone. Sachse should win this game by 14 points and continue North Garland's misery.
Matt's Pick: Sachse
District 11-5A
Sunset (0-8, 0-3) at Molina (4-4, 1-2) -- Sunset has a decent passing attack but their defense is very porous. Molina has a solid running game and they like to pound the ball and mix in the pass. Molina has yet to really get their sealegs about them in the district. Look for Molina to have a bit of success against Sunset - winning by at least 28 points.
Matt's Pick: Molina
WT White (2-6, 1-2) at Bryan Adams (1-7, 1-2) -- Bryan Adams got its first win of the season last week against Sunset - and if they can pull an upset over WT White - you never know, they might be able to make the playoffs. WT White has such an explosive offense, I can see this game actually getting kinda ugly. Bryan Adams doesn't have the defense to contain WT White - and I think the Longhorns win by 28 points.
Matt's Pick: WT White
District 12-5A
Mesquite (5-3, 3-0) at Longview (7-1, 3-0) -- This should be a great game for the district championship. Tyler John Tyler and Tyler Lee have played Longview competitively - meanwhile, Mesquite has taken care of teams pretty convincingly thus far. When it comes to this game, Longview seems to always get right back on par - and at home, I expect more of the same. Longview wins this game by at least 14 points.
Matt's Pick: Longview
Mesquite Horn (3-5, 1-2) at North Mesquite (2-6, 0-3) -- North Mesquite has been a disappointment this season - I expected more - even in a loss - out of North Mesquite against Tyler Lee. At home with a chance at the playoffs on the line, I expect more from them. The challenge is out to North Mesquite to step up this week when it matters, and I think they will. It will be hard fought - but North Mesquite wins by 7 points.
Matt's Pick: North Mesquite
Tyler Lee (4-4, 2-1) at Tyler John Tyler (1-7, 0-3) -- Both teams have been peaking at the right time - which makes this game even more exciting - despite the records, both teams are playing much more competitively. I expect nothing short of a great battle in this game - look for Tyler Lee to escape and survive in this game by 3 points.
Matt's Pick: Tyler Lee
Class 4A District Football GamesDistrict 5-4A
Wichita Falls (6-2, 3-1) at Denison (3-5, 2-2) -- The Diggs Friday game of the week next week is tenatively Denison vs. Sherman. That game could determine a playoff spot if Denison could pull the upset. At home, this game gets the UPSETWATCH tag. I don't think I'm lucky enough to get an upset - but I think it could happen (and hope it does) - I'll take Wichita Falls by 3 points, but go Yellowjackets! Make the battle of the axe for a playoff spot.
Matt's Pick: Wichita Falls
Sherman (3-5, 1-3) at Denton Guyer (1-8, 1-4) -- Denton Guyer played Wichita Falls close after Saginaw Boswell played them close. Denton Guyer is peaking at the right time of the season, and their youth is jelling. Sherman is tail-spinning and they are out of control for their own playoff life. They will need Denison to beat Wichita Falls and them to beat Denison by more than they beat Wichita Falls to gain a point differential win. They should at least win against Guyer - but the rest of it? Only Friday night will tell.
Matt's Pick: Sherman
Denton Ryan (5-3, 4-0) at Wichita Falls Rider (7-1, 4-0) -- This game is definitely a marquee game in the state this week as Denton Ryan takes on WF Rider. Denton Ryan has not lost to a 4A team yet - and Rider's only loss was to the #1 team in the state. This should be a physical game with some big plays. I think it comes down to fire and intensity - and at home, I think Rider will have more of that. They will win by 13 points in a 41-28 type of game.
Matt's Pick: WF Rider
District 6-4A
Azle (0-8, 0-4) at Saginaw (5-3, 1-3) -- Saginaw has had a disappointing end to their season. They should get their second win - but it is a case of too little too late for the Roughriders. The team had a lot of promise but just didn't deliver. They played winless Brewer within a touchdown last week and I expect this one will be close, but even for a second year school, they should have more talent and win this game. Saginaw takes it by 10 points.
Matt's Pick: Saginaw
Saginaw Boswell (4-4, 2-2) at Keller Fossil Ridge (7-1, 4-0) -- Boswell felt the latest sting for the upset bug against Springtown. Boswell is probably a better team, but they didn't play a full 48 minutes. They almost did against Wichita Falls - but didn't quite put it together. I don't think they will put it together this week either. Fossil Ridge has been dominant and should continue to do so. The Panthers win this game by 31 points in a complete performance against the Pioneers.
Matt's Pick: Fossil Ridge
Birdville (7-0, 4-0) at Springtown (4-5, 4-1) -- This game has now turned into second place and a game for seeding. Have to credit the coaching of Coach Turner at Springtown to make this game even possible - I certainly didn't predict it. Birdville is just that much better - and Week 10 against Fossil Ridge will be an excellent game for the district championship yet again. Birdville is down on offense but I think a little better on defense. They should win this game by 20 points.
Matt's Pick: Birdville
District 7-4A
FW North Side (0-8, 0-3) at FW Arlington Heights (3-4, 1-2) -- Although Arlington Heights will be 2-2 - they will miss the playoffs and be playing for 5th place against Western Hills in the zone playoffs - with South Hills taking on FW Poly. North Side was competitive last week against South Hills but I don't think they'll be competitive against Arlington Heights. The YellowJackets win this game by 30 points. North Side's defense won't be able to slow down the running game of Arlignton Heights.
Matt's Pick: FW Arlington Heights
FW O.D. Wyatt (4-3, 3-0) at FW South Hills (5-3, 2-1) -- If OD Wyatt wins this game, it will set up a three way tie with South Hills, Eastern Hills and Arlington Heights - a three way tie that Eastern Hills will win. OD Wyatt should take care of business and compete against FW Southwest for the district title - but this win will clinch a playoff spot for Oscar Dean Wyatt high school. I think they will win this game by 24 points - but probably get thumped in the final game against Southwest.
Matt's Pick: FW OD Wyatt
FW Poly (3-5, 2-2) at FW Dunbar (4-4, 3-1) -- FW Poly will certainly have an improvement this season - even if they stay at three wins. This is a team that is now in the second tier of teams - and when the divisions get split up - if it works out right, they may compete for a playoff spot. This year, Dunbar will compete for a playoff spot and likely have the athletes to play whomever comes out of the three way tie unscathed in the other zone. Dunbar wins this one by 27 points.
Matt's Pick: FW Dunbar
District 8-4A
Mineral Wells (1-7, 0-5) at Aledo (6-2, 3-2) -- Aledo has had several games to stumble, but with a win this week, they will definitely get a step closer to clinching - but the game against Crowley next week will outright determine the last playoff spot. Next week will be fun - district championship with Stephenville and Everman and third place with Crowley and Aledo. Aledo blows out Mineral Wells by 50.
Matt's Pick: Aledo
Cleburne (4-4, 1-4) at Alvarado (2-6, 1-4) -- Cleburne has been a huge disappointment this season as they have had so much potential but the district can make good teams seem bad. I do think Cleburne can win their last two games and they have to start against Alvarado. Alvarado can certainly win this game, but I think Cleburne just has more talent and similar coaching. Cleburne by 6 points.
Matt's Pick: Cleburne
Crowley (5-3, 4-1) at Stephenville (8-0, 5-0) -- Crowley got thumped by Everman last week but I think they are going to get up for Stephenville. I think this game will be competitive for a half before the Yellowjackets get momentum in the second half. 7 points at halftime, but 24 by the end of the game as Stephenville is just too much for the Crowley Eagles.
Matt's Pick: Stephenville
Everman (8-0, 5-0) at Joshua (2-6, 1-4) -- Everman will probably be peeking ahead toward the season ending showdown against Stephenville next week, but Joshua has been relatively competitive in games this far this season - against the middle tier. Against the top tier, it is just such an athletic mismatch it is hard for them to compete. Everman takes care of business winning by 36 points 43-7.
Matt's Pick: Everman
District 9-4A
Frisco Centennial (1-7, 1-4) at The Colony (3-5, 2-3) -- I think Centennial has given up - they had that huge emotional win over McKinney North and then they got throttled by a highly efficient Frisco team. The Colony still has the playoff aspirations but they will need some help - but more importantly - they have to keep winning. I do think they are able to use their size advantage to smash out a 10 point victory on Centennial.
Matt's Pick: The Colony
McKinney North (5-3, 2-3) at Frisco (5-3, 4-1) -- Frisco has peaked at the right time - with two straight convincing victories and opening up the playbook a bit - Frisco may be playing the best football in 9-4A. McKinney North has made some adjustments to salvage their season - but their season will be officially over with a loss - and I do think it will be officially over. Frisco by 28 points.
Matt's Pick: Frisco
Lake Dallas (7-1, 4-1) at McKinney (2-6, 0-5) -- Something has happened with Lake Dallas over the last two weeks - and losing their running back will not help. They just aren't playing crisp football - of course averaging 5 yards on a run and maybe averaging 3 yards with a back-up RB might be part of that. if McKinney was a better team, I'd pick an upset - but Lake Dallas should fight out a 10 point victory.
Matt's Pick: Lake Dallas
McKinney Boyd (5-3, 3-2) at Little Elm (7-1, 4-1) -- Little Elm has looked to peak right at this game. I feel UPSETWATCH is on - because I think McKinney Boyd is a bad match-up for Little Elm - but because Boyd's offense has been suspect, I will take Little Elm by a touchdown as I do think they are getting healthier at the right time.
Matt's Pick: Little Elm
District 10-4A
Highland Park (8-0, 5-0) at Greenville (3-5, 2-3) -- Greenville's 3 wins have all come at home - and they share a rare home field advantage that many teams don't have in cookie cutter and shared stadiums. Highland Park though plays technically sound wherever football is played - which will bode well for a playoff run. Not sure Greenville's linebackers can contain the run to let the secondary man up on the receivers. HP by 28.
Matt's Pick: Highland Park
Mesquite Poteet (5-3, 3-2) at Forney (1-7, 0-5) -- Forney has been a huge disappointment and the last game of the season against Terrell might determine if they will get their only win of the season. Poteet is still holding out hope for that last playoff spot - and to a degree, they hold their own destiny in their hands - week 10 against Pearce should tell the story. Poteet's offense will be too much - and they should win by 21 points.
Matt's Pick: Mesquite Poteet
Terrell (1-7, 0-5) at West Mesquite (6-2, 4-1) -- Terrell has had yet another disappointing season - but I still think they have the capability to perform well on any given week. West Mesquite, despite their loss to Richardson Pearce, has definitely seemed to get the swagger back as a top tier team. I think the same West Mesquite that showed up last week shows up this week for a 28 point victory.
Matt's Pick: West Mesquite
Rockwall Heath (5-3, 2-3) at Richardson Pearce (7-1, 4-1) -- If a team could lose favor with me quickly - it was Heath - getting blown out by West Mesquite after being competitive in each game they've been in. I don't think Richardson Pearce has the size and speed that West Mesquite does - so I do expect this game to be closer - but Richardson Pearce keeps channeling wins and should do so again. Pearce wins a 35-24 game.
Matt's Pick: Richardson Pearce
District 13-4A
North Dallas (0-8, 0-4) at Hillcrest (4-5, 3-2) -- Hillcrest ends their season - and they will have to wait just like they did last year to see if they make the playoffs. A straight up tiebreaker with Lincoln does not favor Hillcrest. A three way tie breaker favors Samuell and Hillcrest. They should take care of business in a big way - but it is sad to think that some regular seasons end this week. Hillcrest wins by 35 points.
Matt's Pick: Hillcrest
Woodrow Wilson (4-4, 2-2) at Lincoln (2-6, 2-2) -- Lincoln had its worst game of the year as they could not stop Samuell nor could they get their high powered offense going against Samuell. Woodrow Wilson's offense has been atrocious - they have yet to get things going against even bad teams. Lincoln should take advantage of this - and win a 24 point win and keep hopes alive in the playoffs.
Matt's Pick: Lincoln
Spruce (6-2, 4-0) at Samuell (5-3, 3-1) -- This is the game of the week as Samuell takes on Spruce - these were two teams I pegged as being above average at the beginning of the season - but they took it to the next level - differentiating themselves from Hillcrest and Lincoln. Spruce lost to Lincoln straight up and Samuell dominated. I look for a 35-28 type of game for Samuell to be district champs.
Matt's Pick: Samuell
District 14-4A
Adamson (5-3, 0-3) at A. Maceo Smith (2-6, 0-3) -- This used to be the battle to see who would get the only win in district - but both coaches have done a great job in turning around their ballclubs. Adamson has gotten the moat out of their athletes - although I do think A. Maceo will get some long bombs - but I don't think they will have any consistency. Adamson by 14.
Matt's Pick: Adamson
Kimball (4-4, 3-0) at South Oak Cliff (5-3, 3-0) -- In doing some research for this game, as I like to do - I talked to some coaches. South Oak Cliff, athlete for athlete can be competitive with Kimball - but Kimball has a psychological edge over the teams in the district as the district bad-ass. As corny as it sounds, I believe this will be the intangible in this match-up. I think defense rules the day, and Kimball wins a 13-7 type of game.
Matt's Pick: Kimball
Pinkston (6-2, 2-1) at Seagoville (5-3, 1-2) -- I am cheering with my heart on this one as there's a chance that the little Adamson Leopards might actually make the playoffs. The first step to that is Seagoville winning - and I saw them and they have the type of offense that will wear down and take care of business in the second half. I look for Pinkston to be ahead by a touchdown at halftime - but Seagoville to win by 10 points.
Matt's Pick: Seagoville
District 15-4A
Waxahachie (7-1, 4-0) at Arlington Seguin (1-6, 0-4) -- Seguin has had an extremely disappointing season. Waxahachie has excited to hear that it was not close to 5A numbers this year - in fact, they dropped down to be one of the lower enrollment 4A teams - to where they might be a Division II team. Seguin has more athletes than Waxahachie but they just don't know what to do with it. Waxahachie does know what to do with it, and they win by 20 points.
Matt's Pick: Waxahachie
Red Oak (6-2, 3-1) at Ennis (6-2, 4-0) -- Who would have thoguht that Ennis vs. Red Oak would have such significant playoff ramifications? If you did - I'd like to hire you. I still am very skeptical of Red Oak - and I don't think they make the playoffs. I think Corsicana finds its way in and through hook or crook, normalcy continues in 15-4A - the big three continue to succeed. Ennis wins this one by 30 points.
Matt's Pick: Ennis
Lancaster (5-3, 1-3) at Midlothian (4-5, 1-4) -- Midlothian is out of the playoff race - and their reward? 5A numbers and a visit to a district with Cedar Hill and the like next season. Congratulations Midlothian. That is your punishment for letting me down this year. Lancaster's only district win has been at the hands of Corsicana. I am officially off the Midlothian bandwagon - and I'll take Lancaster to win this one by 23 points.
Matt's Pick: Lancaster
Class 3A District Football GamesDistrict 6-3A
Burkburnett (6-2, 1-1) at Wichita Falls Hirschi (2-7, 0-3) -- A Saturday special at Memorial Stadium features Hirschi and I-44 rival Burkburnett. Buzz has Burkburnett moving to 4A next season to take on the other Wichita Falls teams - but in their last game against the 3A Wichita Falls team - I think they blow them out. Burkburnett should win this one by 39 points in a ugly thrashing of the Hirschi Huskies - a team that has just wished to erase this season.
Matt's Pick: Burkburnett
Vernon (7-1, 2-0) at Graham (8-0, 2-0) -- This is one of the top games in the staet - as Vernon takes on Graham for the district championship. I really like vernon's defense in this game. I think they will slow down Case McCoy and cause him to make a few turnovers. That being said, I don't see Vernon driving consistently on Graham. I like Graham in a slugfest - a 13-10 type of game which could come down to special teams.
Matt's Pick: Graham
District 8-3A
Argyle (6-2, 2-1) at Decatur (5-3, 3-0) -- The district championship will be played by two fairly inconsistent teams. Of these two, although Argyle has had a couple unexpected losses, I do think Argyle is playing better. Argyle has some trouble against good teams but are convincingly beating the bad teams. Decatur has gotten blown out by bad teams and played close with good ones. In a slight upset, I take Argyle by 7 points.
Matt's UPSET Pick: Argyle
Bowie (1-7, 0-3) at Gainesville (1-7, 1-2) -- One team will get its second win of the year - and probably their last win of the year. I think that team will be Gainesville. Although well removed from state championsihp runs just 2-3 years ago, the Leopards are young but finding some consistency. They could have easily won another 2 games this season. They should win this one by 18.
Matt's Pick: Gainesville
Bridgeport (5-3, 2-1) at Sanger (3-5, 1-2) -- Bridgeport upended Argyle, and if Argyle can beat Decatur, they could cause a three way tie for the district championship. If that happens, all three teams would clinch. I do think it happens as Argyle should beat Decatur, and Bridgeport should take care of business over Sanger by 28 points.
Matt's Pick: Bridgeport
District 9-3A
Bonham (0-8, 0-5) at Frisco Wakeland (7-1, 4-1) -- wakeland should go to 8-1 this week when they take on an undermanned Bonham team - a team that is so bad it loses to other winless teams by 28 plus points. Not a good sign for the little Purple Warriors. Wakeland has the size and numbers - much like Royse City - a team considered 3A but playing with 4A numbers in 4A/5A stadiums. Wakeland should take care of business again this week by 49 points.
Matt's Pick: Frisco Wakeland
Celina (8-0, 5-0) at Prosper (6-2, 3-2) -- Celina gets Prosper this week - and Propser was the beneficiary of the Wills Point win over Whitesboro last week as it put Prosper right back into the leading role for the third playoff spot. Prosper has not lived up to their preseason hype - but Celina has - and Celina will likely be playing in week 14-15 again this season. Prosper will not be able to slow Celina down. The Bearcats win by 33.
Matt's Pick: Celina
Pilot Point (5-3, 3-2) at Princeton (1-7, 1-4) -- Princeton is a team that has gotten better as the season rolls on - but I'm not sure good enough to pull an upset. They are certainly playing more competitively as teams are having a hard time figuring out the single wing offense. Pilot Point beat Whitesboro but still loses a three way tiebreaker, so they will need Sanger to get upset somewhere along the line. Pilot Point by 20 this week.
Matt's Pick: Pilot Point
Van Alstyne (2-6, 1-4) at Whitesboro (6-2, 3-2) -- Whitesboro has to be considered a disappointment for themselves. They controlled their own destiny against Pilot Point last week and pretty much lost out to a good team. They would have to beat Celina to make the playoffs which is an improbability. Still, a 7 win season is more than most expected. They will get that this week in a 34 point victory against Van Alstyne.
Matt's Pick: Whitesboro
District 10-3A
Wills Point (5-3, 2-1) at Commerce (2-6, 1-2) -- Commerce has struggled this season - their defense has been a huge issue giving up big points to just about everyone they play. Wills Point is a little more stable, and Wills Point needs a win to get themselves back in the playoff picture. If they win this game, and Nevada Community wins - they should both clinch the playoffs. Wills Point holds up their end of the deal by 15 points.
Matt's Pick: Wills Point
Emory Rains (3-5, 1-2) at Nevada Community (5-3, 2-1) -- Nevada Community has been a nice story this season. A team that lost its star QB to a car accident has bounced back upsetting two straight teams to get themselves right in the playoff picture - but there are no real bad teams in this district, so they may fall as quickly as they've risen. I think comparatively speaking, Nevada Community should win this game by 10 points - but in my head, I say Emory Rains by 7. We'll go with the comparatively speaking side of me. Braves win.
Matt's Pick: Nevada Community
Quinlan Ford (4-4, 0-3) at Royse City (8-0, 3-0) -- Ever since district has started, Quinlan Ford has not lived up to the expectations set forth for them. Royse City - a team that will open a 5A stadium with 4A numbers this year has the benefit of playing 3A talent with all those advantages. They should win again. Royse City wins this game convincingly by 34 points.
Matt's Pick: Royse City
District 11-3A
Carrollton Ranchview (3-5, 1-2) at River Oaks Castleberry (5-3, 1-2) -- Ranchview still has a slim shot to make the playoffs, but it would involve them beating Castleberry and then having Castleberry pull an upset next week to create a 2-3 tie. I don't think Castleberry will pull the upset, but I do think Ranchview will win. The game against Lake Worth just got away from them - or we could be talking about a playoff clinch. Ranchview by 20.
Matt's Pick: Carrollton Ranchview
District 12-3A
Kennedale (6-2, 3-0) at Glen Rose (5-3, 3-0) -- This game will be for the district championship and a definite playoff spot - although both teams are practically guaranteed playoff spots. I look for Kennedale - a team that has just been getting by this season - to get by one more time in a pretty competitive game for the final playoff spot. Kennedale wins by a touchdown.
Matt's Pick: Kennedale
Hillsboro (4-4, 1-2) at Venus (2-6, 0-3) -- Hillsboro needs to win out and get some help to make the playoffs. Venus - well, they are Venus. Not too good and they may even drop to 2A depending on where the cutoff is this season. Hillsboro has been much more competitive this year and will continue that in a dominant role this week. Hillsboro takes care of Venus by 36 points.
Matt's Pick: Hillsboro
Whitney (3-5, 1-2) at West (4-4, 1-2) -- West has been pretty decent - playing Kennedale and Glen Rose very competitively. They should win their last two games and make the playoffs. Whitney had its win over Venus and they are playing out the string now. west has a good defense that loves to hit - and I think that's the difference in a 31 point victory.
Matt's Pick: West
District 13-3A
Crandall (3-5, 2-1) at Mabank (3-5, 1-2) -- This district is crazy and topsy turvy with everyone losing and no one has established themselves as a second tier team outside of Kaufman. Mabank is a team that I think have picked to win 7 or 8 times this year, so I am only batting .500 on them. I just can't get over Crandall's poor start to the season. Mabank finds a will and a way to win this game by 7 points.
Matt's Pick: Mabank
Eustace (4-4, 2-1) at Kaufman (6-2, 3-0) -- Kaufman has been about the only consistent thing, but if Eustace pulls the improbable upset - they may win district! If they lose, they will be fighting for their playoff lives. Kaufman has been consistent - well coached - and has lesser athletes doing more on the football field. They are a team to admire. I think they all but clinch district with a 21 point victory.
Matt's Pick: Kaufman
Kemp (1-7, 0-3) at Ferris (5-3, 1-2) -- I suppose if Kaufman has been one constant - Kemp has been the other one. If this works out right this week, four teams will be tied at 2-2 going into the final week. Parity - isn't it great? I think the scenario will actually happen. Ferris will take care of Kemp putting Ferris in a four way tie at 2-2 - but only two of those four teams will make the playoffs. It will be a fun final week. Ferris by 31.
Matt's Pick: Ferris
Class 2A District Football GamesDistrict 9-2A
Holliday (7-1, 4-1) at Alvord (3-5, 2-3) -- Alvord needs a definite win to stay in the playoff hunt. Holliday, a team that got upset last week and knocked out of the state polls, cannot even afford another loss in district or they may be sitting at home in two weeks. I do expect Holliday to bounce back and win this game convincingly - by 21 points - and secure their spot in the playoffs - contingent on next week.
Matt's Pick: Holliday
Nocona (6-2, 4-1) at Chico (0-8, 0-5) -- Chico has not played very well this season - but Nocona has been surprising. Nocona is right in the hunt for the playoffs, but they will have a tough game next week. All kinds of chaos can emerge in this district after this week. Nocona should go to 5-1 with a big win over Chico - but next week against Henrietta will be huge for playoff ramifications.
Matt's Pick: Nocona
Wichita Falls City View (1-7, 1-4) at Henrietta (7-1, 4-1) -- Henrietta just got by Alvord in overtime last week in a classic game as reported to me by one of my psychology students. They were also competitive against Holliday - so their game against Nocona next week will likely be for the playoffs. It is the in district bye against WF City view, so Henrietta can name its score, but I expect them to win by 48 points in a kind thrashing.
Matt's Pick: Henrietta
Olney (6-2, 3-2) at Jacksboro (4-4, 2-3) -- Olney had a huge win over Holliday last week, but with two losses, it cannot afford a third loss - but it should stay with two losses. It ultimately ends up with who they are tied against to determine if they will make it in the playoffs or not. Jacksboro is out of the race but they can certainly play the role of spoiler - as their three district losses have been by an average of 9 points. Olney finds a way to win this one by 7 points.
Matt's Pick: Olney
District 10-2A
Cisco (8-0, 3-0) at Boyd (5-3, 3-0) -- This game is for the district championship as undefeated Cisco takes on thrice beaten Boyd - but Boyd's losses have come to some good 3A teams and a state ranked 2A team by one point. Cisco has been dominant but this is the best team they have played this season. I expect a barn-burner. I think Cisco escapes with a three point victory - but it will be hard earned. The Dam Loboes win this one 31-28.
Matt's Pick: Cisco
Millsap (2-6, 0-3) at Eastland (1-7, 0-3) -- This is the week where the projected first place team plays second, third and fourth, and fifth and sixth play each other. This is the fifth and sixth teams. Eastland and Millsap have both had good times and bad times - but mostly bad times this season. Eastland has stepped up a little more and I think they should be a slight favorite in this game. Their win over Dublin speaks to the potential this team has, despite losing by 62 last week. The Eastland Mavericks win this game by 10 points
Matt's Pick: Eastland
Paradise (3-5, 1-2) at Godley (4-4, 2-1) -- This is for the third playoff spot in the district. Paradise should be considered a favorite - but after beating Venus, Godley has snapped - in a way to where they are beating the hell out of teams. They won 76-12 last week and 50-7 two weeks ago. This is a team that has found itself. In a minor upset, I look for Godley to take this win and clinch the third playoff spot over a very inconsistent Paradise team. Godley by 10 points.
Matt's UPSET Pick: Godley
District 11-2A
Dublin (6-2, 2-1) at Hico (6-2, 2-1) -- This has been a fun district to watch - the second tier are all so close, there will be some competitive games. Hico vs. Dublin could be for the last playoff spot. Hico will likely lose next week as will Dublin. Both teams will be battling for the right to be the third playoff team. Gut instinct - but I think Hico is a better team looking at their wins. Dublin has beaten some bad 2A teams in their wins. Hico makes the playoffs winning by 9.
Matt's Pick: Hico
Grandview (6-2, 3-0) at Maypearl (0-8, 0-3) -- This game is a huge mismatch waiting to happen. Maypearl has a bad defense and a bad offense. That is a bad combination when you're taking on one of the top programs in 2A - in the Grandview Zebras. They have been on the other end of those beatings, so I think they will be gentle, but Grandview wins by 56 points. The offense is ahead of the defense for Grandview - but when you play a bad offense, defenses can look all-world.
Matt's Pick: Grandview
Rio Vista (4-4, 0-3) at Itasca (7-1, 2-1) -- Itasca has pretty much guaranteed themselves a playoff spot, and they can clinch it with a win this week. Rio Vista could still make it if they pull the upset - and get into a three way tie situation. I don't think that will occur as Itasca handles business in a solid way. Itasca squeaked past Hico last week in a tough game, but this week they win by 31 points.
Matt's Pick: Itasca
District 12-2A
Caddo Mills (8-0, 3-0) at Lone Oak (7-1, 3-0) -- For the second straight year, the district championship will be on the line when Caddo Mills travels to Lone Oak to take them on. Caddo Mills, starting to get attention in the state polls have earned their way to a great season. Lone Oak has a blemish but they still play tough nosed football. Even on the road, the slight advantage goes to Caddo Mills - as they win by 17 points.
Matt's Pick: Caddo Mills
Life Oak Cliff (3-5, 0-3) at Scurry-Rosser (2-6, 0-3) -- One of these two teams will get their only district win. The other one will likely not win a game for the season. Both of these teams have had disappointing seasons, but moreso for Scurry Rosser which expected great things this season. I do think they edge by Life Oak Cliff - winning by a touchdown - but in a hard fought game that goes four quarters.
Matt's Pick: Scurry Rosser
Edgewood (4-4, 2-1) at Palmer (7-2, 1-2) -- This is the game for the last playoff spot. Edgewood has looked impressive in their wins this season - the offense has really started to put up numbers. Palmer has just started to suffer their first defeats to Caddo Mills and Lone Oak - but they were much more competitive in the games. I look for Palmer to clinch a playoff spot with a 16 point victory over Edgewood in a 45-29 type of game.
Matt's Pick: Palmer
District 13-2A
Farmersville (6-2, 3-0) at Anna (1-7, 1-2) -- Anna turned in 3A numbers this year, so it could be the last season they are in 2A - which is not good news for them. Anna squeaked by Leonard last week, and now they face the big dogs in the district - who have taken a liking to putting up 60-plus points on the competition. Even Alex Butts, the great Anna ballplayer from the day could not keep this beating from happening. Farmersville by 59 points.
Matt's Pick: Farmersville
Aubrey (5-3, 2-1) at Melissa (7-1, 3-0) -- In my opinion, this game is for second place as Farmersville will likely take care of both - as they already have with with Aubrey. Melissa's lost to Christian still bothers me - I'm not sure how consistent they are. Melissa has yet to get their thumping by Farmersville, but I do think they outlast Aubrey by 17 points. Melissa's defense has been pretty good this season with four shutouts and two other games holding the opponents under 10 - so that will be the key in a Melissa win.
Matt's Pick: Melissa
Blue Ridge (0-8, 0-3) at Leonard (0-8, 0-3) -- Leonard was very competitive last week against Anna, just falling to them. Blue Ridge hasn't been competitive against anyone, which will not be good news. Leonard should put it together this week to knock off the winless Blue Ridge Tigers, who have not scored a point in district and have averaged losing by 53 points a game. Leonard wins by 24 points.
Matt's Pick: Leonard
District 14-2A
Whitewright (4-4, 3-2) at Bells (1-7, 0-5) -- Whitewright lost to Pottsboro last week in a tough game, Hells Bells, well - it hasn't been a banner season for the Panthers of Bells. After winning their first game by a point, it has been tough sledding. Whitewright should thump Bells by at least 31 points in this contest.
Matt's Pick: Whitewright
Callisburg (5-3, 3-2) at Pottsboro (6-2, 4-1) -- This game is for the playoffs for Callisburg - and consequently - for Pottsboro. If Callisburg beats Pottsboro, there will be a three way tie for 2nd place - meaning the team with the lowest point differential will be out of there. Pottsboro already has an upper hand on this - so it is not as crucial as it is for Callisburg. I do think Pottsboro wins this game by 14 and point differential will not matter.
Matt's Pick: Pottsboro
Gunter (8-0, 5-0) at Tom Bean (2-6, 2-3) -- Not a good match-up for Tom Bean - especially on the heels of their loss last week. Tom Bean could have had a three game winning streak. Gunter is still the best team in this district - and they have taken care of all the top teams and they have clinched a playoff spot. I expect them to go full boar for a half and then rest the second half - get the back-ups some time. Even with that, they win by 35 points.
Matt's Pick: Gunter
Howe (2-6, 1-4) at Sadler S&S Consolidated (3-5, 2-3) -- S&S Consolidated took care of Tom Bean to put S&S in that second tier of teams - probably a 5th place type of team in this district - which isn't the playoffs but it is certainly an improvement from years past. Howe has its only district win against Bells - and it will likely be their only one. S&S grinds out a 21 point victory over the Bulldogs of Howe.
Matt's Pick: S&S Consolidated
Class 1A District Football GamesDistrict 9-1A
Windthorst (4-4, 2-1) at Archer City (5-3, 1-2) -- This game should be a great game - one would have thought this would be for the district championship but now it is for survival. The loser of this game will likely be out of the playoff race with Munday and Seymour the top two teams in the district. Windthorst is too good to miss the playoffs - despite not having the lines they've had for the last couple of years. In a hard fought game, the Trojans win by 7 points.
Matt's Pick: Windthorst
Petrolia (3-5, 0-3) at Electra (0-8, 0-3) -- Electra has been a proud 1A program, and like Plano and Permian in the past have - this is the down season for them. Teams should enjoy it while they can because Electra will be back. Petrolia has had a disappointing season as well - but they should win this game. Petrolia's defense is smothering, and I expect a 35-0 type of shutout victory for Petrolia.
Matt's Pick: Petrolia
Munday (8-0, 3-0) at Seymour (6-2, 3-0) -- This game, surprisingly, will be for the district championship. Usually, Archer City/Windthorst has been that game. Seymour has come out of nowhere and really been surprising. Munday has been methodically good, and I don't think they will have a letdown this game. I do think it will be close and hard fought - and this will not be a game where field goals decide it. Munday wins a 42-28 shootout with a game changing play in the fourth quarter.
Matt's Pick: Munday
District 11-1A
Collinsville (6-2, 2-1) at Muenster (1-7, 1-2) -- Muenster got some confidence this week with a big win over Saint Jo. Collinsville has not played up to their potential this season - but they still have played good smash mouth football. I think this game might be a potential upset, but I look for Collinsville to hang on and win this game by a touchdown. Muenster tasted victory and they want more of it - but the Pirates should prevail.
Matt's Pick: Collinsville
Era (3-5, 1-2) at Valley View (7-1, 3-0) -- Valley View will have practically won the district championship with a win this week. With just a game left against winless Saint Jo - winning this game, even if a fluke happens, guarantees them the top seed and no worse than a district championship. I think the focus will be there, and Valley View rolls to a district championship by 41 points.
Matt's Pick: Valley View
Saint Jo (0-8, 0-3) at Lindsay (4-4, 2-1) -- The Knights of Lindsay have started to put together a pretty good run and they should make the playoffs - could be their last year in 1A with the growth they are experiencing. Saint Jo has not lived up to expectations this season and have not played well at all - getting thrashed by an 0-7 team last week. Lindsay handles up on business and wins by 48 points.
Matt's Pick: Lindsay
District 12-1A
De Leon (3-5, 3-1) at Gorman (8-0, 4-0) -- Gorman is also one of the top teams in the state with an undefeated record. DeLeon has been blow out prone the last couple of weeks - not sure if grades or injuries have decimated this team. Gorman will win by as much as it wants to - but I'll set the line at 56 points for this game. Gorman's offense is too systematic not to have a big week.
Matt's Pick: Gorman
Ranger (3-5, 1-3) at Perrin-Whitt (2-7, 2-3) -- Ranger has had some good games earlier in the season - they almost upset Gorman - but lately, they seem to be out of it. Perrin Whitt has won a couple of big games but after that, they have dropped off. This should be a competitive game that could go either way. Ranger has more upside, so I give them the nod in this game. Ranger's defense can shut down Perrin-whitt, and that is the intangible that decides the game. Ranger by 14.
Matt's Pick: Ranger
Tolar (5-3, 4-0) at Santo (1-7, 1-3) -- This game is also a pretty big mismatch for Santo. Tolar is one of the top teams in this district and they have started to peak at the right time. The game against Gorman next week for the district championship should be a classic. That being said, Santo jumps out big in the first half and rests some kids for the big game next week. Tolar by 35 points.
Matt's Pick: Tolar
District 13-1A
Goldthwaite (6-2, 3-1) at Covington (1-7, 1-3) -- Goldthwaite had a convincing victory last week - so perhaps Goldthwaite is back to the team we know and love that can compete for a state championship. Covington has played gritty, tough nosed football all season, and I doubt they'll go down without a fight. Goldthwaite plays them close in the first half but pulls away in the second half winning by 28.
Matt's Pick: Goldthwaite
Bosqueville (3-5, 1-3) at Evant (4-5, 2-3) -- Evant has lost their last two games by an average of 65 points. That certainly cannot be good for the team self-esteem. Evant has played the top dogs pretty well, and despite the fact they won't make the playoffs, they are probably the best of the "other teams". They should take care of business against Evant - and Bosqueville wins this game by 24 points.
Matt's Pick: Evant
Meridian (7-1, 4-0) at Valley Mills (7-1, 4-0) -- This is one of the games of the night in metroplex 1A football - despite its more Waco ties. Meridian has been blowing teams out - and their defense has been helping their offense - both units are getting better. Valley Mills has some tough nosed kids and a good defense - but I don't see them slowing down Meridian - they may not score 60, but they will get their points. Meridian by 14 in a 42-28 type of game.
Matt's Pick: Meridian
District 15-1A
Albany (7-1, 4-0) at Rotan (4-4, 2-2) -- Rotan got blown out last week - one of the uglier scores on the statewide scoreboard if you saw it. Albany is getting ready for its week 10 showdown against Roscoe which will be one of the best games in the state. I expect Albany to take care of Rotan - not necessarily as well as Roscoe did - but efficiently enough. Albany wins by 49 points.
Matt's Pick: Albany
Baird (2-5, 1-3) at Hamlin (1-7, 0-4) -- Baird lost last week as did Hamlin - so both teams, both out of the playoff race are looking to end the season on positive notes and have building blocks for the next year and the offseason program. Both teams will play hard - and in a competitive game, I think Baird wins this game by 10 points. I think it will be a tough nosed battle for 48 minutes.
Matt's Pick: Baird
Roby (2-6, 0-4) at Winters (5-4, 3-2) -- Roby has played some games where you think they can be competitive within the district and other games where you just scratch your head. Winters has been pretty consistent, and with a week ten bye - they will clinch the playoffs with a win. I expect them to come out and dominate this game and assure their playoff spot. Winters wins by 35 points.
Matt's Pick: Winters
District 17-1A
Celeste (3-5, 1-2) at A+ Academy (1-7, 0-3) -- A+ Academy got a big win earlier in the season and they have been struggling since then. The kids work hard but have yet to really put it all together for a complete game. Celeste has also been up and down - not playing hard for 48 minutes all the time. I think Celeste puts it together before its week 10 battle with Wolfe City. Celeste by 35 points.
Matt's Pick: Celeste
Cumby (6-2, 3-0) at Wolfe City (3-5, 2-1) -- If Wolfe City wins this game, they've just about guaranteed themselves a playoff spot. The game against Celeste next week would then be more for show - unless there is a three way tie. Cumby is playing too good of football to let that happen. The offense has exploded and has really led the team. Cumby takes care of business in a close one by 7 points.
Matt's Pick: Cumby
Fruitvale (0-8, 0-3) at Quinlan Boles (8-0, 3-0) -- Quinlan Boles is rolling toward the playoffs at a high clip. The offense is running seamlessly and it will take a lot to slow the offense down. Fruitvale is not really that good of a team, and Quinlan Boles should have another easy tune-up for the playoffs. Boles wins this game by 48 points.
Matt's Pick: Quinlan Boles
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